vault backup: 2025-01-15 20:31:27

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### Null hyposthesis
### Confidence interval
Interval which is expected to contain the parameter
$$
CI = \bar{x} \pm z \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}
$$
Where $z\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}$ is the variation in our estimate.
### T-Test
Used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups.
We have to assume:
- Data follows a normal distribution
- each observation is independent
$$
t = \frac{\text{mean} - \text{theoretical value}}{s\sqrt{n}}
$$

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## Probability
- $P = \frac{\text{Favorable Cases}}{\text{Total Cases}}$
### Conditional Probability
$$
P (A|B) = \frac{P (A \cap B)}{P(B)}
$$
### Independence
$$P (A \cup B) = P(A)P(B)$$
### Law of Total Probabilities
Used when selecting an element at random.
$$
P(A) = \Sigma_n P(A \cup B_n)
$$
![](Pasted%20image%2020250113151159.png)
### Bayes' theorem
$$
P(H | \epsilon) = \frac{P(\epsilon | H) P(H)}{P(\epsilon)}
$$
### Probability Mass Function (PMF)
- Helps more finding the mean than the variance
### Expectation ($\mathbb{E}$)
idfk
**Expected value == mean**
### Variance
$$
var(X) = \mathbb{E}[X^2] - (\mathbb{E}[X])^2
$$
##